Current Model: Predictive: Scoring Efficiency
Last Updated: June 8, 2026 1:30 AM
| Quad 1A | Quad 1 | Quad 2 | Quad 3 | Quad 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 5-4 | 7-0 |
|
At-Large / Opening Round
Overall Seed: 54 Seed Line: 12 Region: West |
| Date | Quad | Opp Rank |
H/A | Opponent | Opp Conf |
Win Prob |
Pred Score |
Final Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 04 | Q4 |
172 |
Portland State | BSky | 81.2% | 75-63 | W 89-79 | |
| Nov 08 | Q4 |
219 |
Montana | BSky | 86.2% | 79-64 | W 91-68 | |
| Nov 12 | Q4 |
141 |
Montana State | BSky | 77.3% | 75-65 | W 77-68 | |
| Nov 18 | Q4 |
321 |
Louisiana | Sun | 94.5% | 76-54 | W 93-66 | |
| Nov 21 | Q3 |
128 |
Seattle | WCC | 75.9% | 71-61 | L 69-77 | |
| Nov 27 | Q3 |
77 |
N | Minnesota | B10 | 54.1% | 66-64 | W 72-68 |
| Nov 28 | Q1 |
30 |
N | Saint Louis | A10 | 31.7% | 72-78 | W 78-77 |
| Dec 01 | Q4 |
262 |
Portland | WCC | 89.6% | 82-65 | W 94-72 | |
| Dec 07 | Q3 |
123 |
UNLV | MW | 75.6% | 81-72 | L 74-75 | |
| Dec 13 | Q4 |
252 |
@ | San Jose State | MW | 78.3% | 78-67 | W 86-82 |
| Dec 17 | Q3 |
151 |
Texas-Arlington | WAC | 78.4% | 70-60 | W 76-60 | |
| Dec 20 | Q2 |
85 |
N | Colorado | B12 | 56.3% | 76-74 | W 77-68 |
| Dec 27 | Q3 |
216 |
Cal State-Northridge | BW | 86.0% | 85-70 | W 88-80 | |
| Dec 30 | Q3 |
89 |
Notre Dame | ACC | 66.2% | 75-70 | L 40-47 | |
| Jan 02 | Q1 |
11 |
Louisville | ACC | 26.8% | 71-80 | W 80-76 | |
| Jan 07 | Q1 |
54 |
@ | Virginia Tech | ACC | 38.1% | 72-76 | W 69-68 |
| Jan 10 | Q1A |
19 |
@ | Virginia | ACC | 18.0% | 65-77 | L 55-70 |
| Jan 14 | Q1 |
27 |
North Carolina | ACC | 38.7% | 71-75 | W 95-90 | |
| Jan 17 | Q1A |
2 |
Duke | ACC | 11.6% | 61-78 | L 50-80 | |
| Jan 24 | Q2 |
80 |
California | ACC | 63.3% | 74-70 | L 66-78 | |
| Jan 28 | Q1A |
29 |
@ | Miami | ACC | 24.6% | 68-78 | L 70-79 |
| Jan 31 | Q1 |
64 |
@ | Florida State | ACC | 41.1% | 75-78 | L 80-88 |
| Feb 04 | Q1 |
36 |
Clemson | ACC | 43.1% | 66-68 | L 64-66 | |
| Feb 07 | Q4 |
161 |
Georgia Tech | ACC | 79.9% | 79-68 | W 95-72 | |
| Feb 11 | Q3 |
153 |
@ | Boston College | ACC | 64.2% | 69-64 | W 70-64 |
| Feb 14 | Q1 |
58 |
@ | Wake Forest | ACC | 38.5% | 72-76 | L 63-68 |
| Feb 21 | Q1 |
80 |
@ | California | ACC | 46.0% | 71-73 | L 66-72 |
| Feb 25 | Q3 |
91 |
Pittsburgh | ACC | 66.7% | 71-65 | W 75-67 | |
| Feb 28 | Q2 |
35 |
SMU | ACC | 43.0% | 75-78 | W 95-75 | |
| Mar 04 | Q2 |
89 |
@ | Notre Dame | ACC | 49.1% | 72-73 | W 86-78 |
| Mar 07 | Q1 |
31 |
@ | North Carolina State | ACC | 26.0% | 73-82 | W 85-84 |
| Mar 10 | Q3 |
91 |
N | Pittsburgh | ACC | 58.5% | 68-65 | L 63-64 |