Current Model: Predictive: Scoring Efficiency
Last Updated: June 8, 2026 1:30 AM
| Quad 1A | Quad 1 | Quad 2 | Quad 3 | Quad 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-8 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9-0 |
|
At-Large / Opening Round
Overall Seed: 50 Seed Line: 12 Region: Midwest |
| Date | Quad | Opp Rank |
H/A | Opponent | Opp Conf |
Win Prob |
Pred Score |
Final Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 04 | Q1A |
2 |
N | Duke | ACC | 13.3% | 64-80 | L 60-75 |
| Nov 08 | Q4 |
327 |
Lafayette | Pat | 97.3% | 87-61 | W 97-60 | |
| Nov 12 | Q4 |
319 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | NE | 97.0% | 84-58 | W 93-58 | |
| Nov 15 | Q4 |
360 |
UMKC | Summ | 99.5% | 94-58 | W 71-55 | |
| Nov 18 | Q4 |
354 |
Rider | MAAC | 99.0% | 88-57 | W 99-65 | |
| Nov 24 | Q2 |
79 |
N | Arizona State | B12 | 66.2% | 79-73 | L 86-87 |
| Nov 25 | Q4 |
N | Chaminade | 100.0% | 104-53 | W 119-78 | ||
| Nov 26 | Q1 |
31 |
N | North Carolina State | ACC | 45.2% | 79-81 | W 102-97 |
| Dec 03 | Q1A |
19 |
Virginia | ACC | 43.2% | 74-76 | L 69-88 | |
| Dec 08 | Q4 |
255 |
Southern | SWAC | 93.6% | 90-69 | W 95-69 | |
| Dec 12 | Q1A |
13 |
@ | Connecticut | BE | 23.6% | 67-77 | L 63-71 |
| Dec 16 | Q4 |
282 |
Le Moyne | NE | 94.9% | 88-65 | W 95-53 | |
| Dec 22 | Q4 |
343 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | MEAC | 98.3% | 84-55 | W 94-71 | |
| Jan 03 | Q3 |
99 |
Mississippi State | SEC | 79.7% | 85-73 | L 98-101 | |
| Jan 06 | Q1A |
16 |
@ | Tennessee | SEC | 25.6% | 68-77 | L 71-85 |
| Jan 10 | Q1A |
14 |
@ | Alabama | SEC | 25.6% | 83-92 | W 92-88 |
| Jan 14 | Q1 |
10 |
Vanderbilt | SEC | 37.0% | 78-82 | W 80-64 | |
| Jan 17 | Q2 |
33 |
Texas A&M | SEC | 54.6% | 83-82 | L 70-74 | |
| Jan 21 | Q1A |
23 |
@ | Kentucky | SEC | 31.4% | 74-80 | L 80-85 |
| Jan 24 | Q2 |
24 |
Georgia | SEC | 48.0% | 84-85 | W 87-67 | |
| Jan 28 | Q1 |
34 |
@ | Auburn | SEC | 37.7% | 78-82 | L 82-88 |
| Jan 31 | Q1 |
42 |
@ | Oklahoma | SEC | 41.8% | 77-80 | W 79-69 |
| Feb 03 | Q4 |
97 |
South Carolina | SEC | 79.4% | 80-69 | W 84-75 | |
| Feb 07 | Q3 |
68 |
Ole Miss | SEC | 71.0% | 79-71 | W 79-68 | |
| Feb 14 | Q1 |
51 |
@ | Missouri | SEC | 48.0% | 76-77 | W 85-68 |
| Feb 17 | Q3 |
55 |
LSU | SEC | 67.1% | 82-76 | W 88-85 | |
| Feb 21 | Q1A |
24 |
@ | Georgia | SEC | 31.2% | 81-88 | L 80-91 |
| Feb 25 | Q1A |
4 |
Florida | SEC | 25.9% | 74-83 | L 71-84 | |
| Feb 28 | Q1 |
33 |
@ | Texas A&M | SEC | 37.3% | 80-85 | W 76-70 |
| Mar 04 | Q1A |
15 |
@ | Arkansas | SEC | 25.6% | 80-89 | L 85-105 |
| Mar 07 | Q2 |
42 |
Oklahoma | SEC | 59.2% | 80-77 | L 85-88 | |
| Mar 11 | Q3 |
68 |
N | Ole Miss | SEC | 63.1% | 76-71 | L 66-76 |